Not a Comment on the Opposition #twill

I was asked by a relative to try to predict the midterms. In 2024 it was easier to say Vice President Kam-A-la Harris would get her clock cleaned by President Donald Trump. Even then it was not fully assured. This time is harder.

Both sides have put up candidates I would not send.

In Texas the Senate race is James Talarico aka "Talafreako" against Ken Paxton. Texas is not a purple state that wandered. It is a red state, and Paxton is still not clear of Talarico. September polls had the Democrat ahead or tied. A New York Times/Siena survey in June had them even at 47. That is the tell. Paxton carries the baggage. Talarico is a strange fit for the state he is asking to send him.

He is a Presbyterian seminarian who told the Texas House, in 2021, that God is non-binary, and that trans children are made in God's image. He has said other traditions circle the same truth. I am not grading his theology. I am saying a candidate who talks that way is asking Texas to ignore what it has been. Democrats may still vote for him. A lot of them cannot bring themselves to vote for a Republican, especially one aligned with Donald Trump.

The same pattern shows up with Democratic Socialists of America candidates who have won House seats. I would not call them strong candidates. They have a leg up anyway. Democrats who are not socialists will often take the socialist over the Republican.

Allow me to bring this conversation home to Illinois. 

My read on the Illinois races I have looked at in September is that Democrats keep the governor's mansion and the Senate seat Dick Durbin is leaving. Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton against former state party chair Don Tracy. Gov. J.B. Pritzker, running for a third term, against Darren Bailey again.

If there was a seat people could call winnable, it was Durbin's. I am saying winnable. I am not saying Republicans win it. A Public Policy Polling survey taken September 30 and October 1 had Stratton at 49 and Tracy at 36. The same poll had Pritzker at 54 and Bailey at 34, with independent Collin Corbett at 6. The Senate gap is the smaller one. Smaller is not small.

Then came Monday. Via CapitolFax.

Not a War on the Lab

 The clip title says the left is losing its war against biology. I had to stop on the phrase. War on biology can mean a lab. A chromosome. A drug. That is not what they are talking about.

Jeremy Boreing posted the cut Monday. The sit-down is from September 16, his Wednesday live with Kurt Schlichter, Zuby, and Nathan Finochio. The phrase shows up about two minutes in, after they have already said the quiet part.

Watch the clip here [VIDEO]

The point is that an advantage is not a confession. Beautiful, intelligent, strong, born to means: use it, and do not impoverish yourself to prove a point nobody asked for. Weak, get stronger. Unattractive, grooming does more than a speech. Sydney Sweeney is the exhibit. The modesty argument, Boreing grants, is a real argument. What he likes is that she is not ashamed of being Sydney Sweeney. One of them calls the male gaze a female superpower. Wrong uses exist. The attraction, he says, is not the crime. Every person here got here because a man was attracted to a woman.

Men, a Great Deal

The New York Post ran a headline on September 30 that did more work than the question underneath it. Two-thirds of young Democratic women, it said, blame men for most of society’s problems.

Two-thirds of young Dem women say men are to blame for most of society's problems: poll https://t.co/cpxQu0uK5O pic.twitter.com/ZxC67JGDfA

— New York Post (@nypost) September 30, 2026

That is not what they were asked.

The Survey Center on American Life asked whether “the challenges that women face in American society” are “a great deal” due to the behavior or actions of men. Sixty-six percent of Democratic women ages 18 to 29 said yes. Eighteen percent of Republican women the same age said yes.

The interviews are from last summer. The center talked to 5,451 adults from July 25 to August 1, 2025, as part of its Civility and Morality Survey, and posted this cut on September 22. The Post ran it eight days later.

The gap does not close with age. Among women 30 to 49, 54 percent of Democrats and 23 percent of Republicans gave that answer. From 50 to 64, 47 and 25. At 65 and older, 48 and 16. The youngest Democratic women are the high mark. They are not the only ones.

Men were asked the mirror question: are the challenges men face a great deal due to women? Sixteen percent said yes. Among Republican men 18 to 29, 26 percent. Democratic young men are less likely to say it. The Post puts that gap at about twenty points.

So the headline did extra work. "Most of society's problems" is not what was asked. What was asked is still a fifty-point split, and it is largest where the women are youngest.

The article does not say why. It shows who is ready to say men are a great deal of the problem, and who is not. It does not say what they think those men did.

A poll cannot tell you whether the blame is earned. It can tell you who is ready to assign it, and who is not.

h/t Newsalert

Alive After the Needle

This got my attention on Wednesday.

I am not for the death penalty. I also do not need a sermon to see what Christa Pike did in Knoxville in 1995. Those two things can sit in the same paragraph.

Tennessee tried to execute her at Riverbend. Courts spent the day opening and closing the door. The Sixth Circuit paused the warrant about an hour before the 10 a.m. time. The Supreme Court lifted that stay around 5:50 p.m. The state then ran the protocol late. Two syringes of pentobarbital. Witnesses heard her snoring with her mouth open. The curtains closed, opened, closed again. An ambulance left the prison. Governor Bill Lee froze the rest of the 2026 calendar and ordered a review. As I write this, she is alive.

If you never heard of the case, here is the short version. I asked Grok to summarize the crime.

Even Hostin Said Wait

This showed up on Steve Bartin’s Newsalert Tuesday afternoon. Sunny Hostin, on the liberal morning show The View, talking about the Cornell case. Journalist Glenn Greenwald posted the same clip on X: if even she is saying wait, the point should not be hard.

Watch that segment here: [VIDEO]

Last week a former student filed a civil suit. She says that in October 2024, at Chi Phi, she was drugged and assaulted by seven fraternity members. A group chat from that night is out. A site went up naming the seven. None of them has been criminally charged.

The Third Superpower

The race keeps getting told as Washington versus Beijing.

Max Tegmark told Bill O’Reilly it is not only that.

There is a third superpower rising, he said. Not China. Not the United States. The machines themselves.

That is the line that lands.

O’Reilly’s long sit-down is We’ll Do It LIVE!, posted September 24. Tegmark is the MIT physicist. It sits next to the Sherman hour from last week.

Watch it here: [VIDEO]

Even They Didn't Buy It

I was late to this one. It still sits next to the recent story regarding the Greenfield, MA bar.

Last Ditch wanted one Saturday mask-optional and the comments reached for harm and eugenics. Two weeks before that, over Labor Day, Haymarket Books packed the Hyatt Regency McCormick Place in the South Loop for Socialism 2026. More than three thousand people. Masks required except when a speaker was at the mic. That was the house rule in Chicago in 2026 — as if the pandemic was still a thing.

The clips left the building. Cenk Uygur and Ana Kasparian discussed them on The Young Turks. Title on the segment: Cenk Gives Socialists A BIG Reality Check.

Watch it here: [VIDEO]

TYT is a left-wing outlet. That is the only reason the tape is interesting. This is not a conservative victory lap. It is their own side's floor, and the sentences do not add up.

Saturday Was the Crime

Glenn Beck walked a Boston Globe magazine story this week and consider me baffled. A lesbian bar in Greenfield, Massachusetts, wants one Saturday mask-optional and all hell breaks loose.

The title to Beck's segment is almost like a joke: A Clown, A Drag Queen, And A Lesbian Walk Into A COVID Friendly Bar...

Watch Beck here: [VIDEO]

The article is Annalisa Quinn’s, September 22: A Western Mass. lesbian bar required KN-95 masks. When it changed the rules, all hell broke loose.

America First, From the Podium

 President Donald Trump addressed the 81st United Nations General Assembly in New York yesterday during the annual high-level General Debate. The United States, as host country, traditionally speaks early. He also held sideline meetings and signed a security agreement involving Greenland.

Watch Trump's U.N. speech here: [VIDEO]

Illinois Looks Settled

The governor’s race already looks settled. They are selling Durbin’s seat the same way.

March 17 named the tickets. Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton won the Democratic nomination with 40.4 percent. Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi took 32.7. Rep. Robin Kelly took 18.3. Former Illinois Republican Party chair Don Tracy won his primary with 40 percent over attorney Jeannie Evans at 22.8. The general is November 3.

They have sat for television. They have not sat together.

You can read my blog on the 2026 Illinois governor’s race here.

How Does the Machine Kill You

 Bill O'Reilly sat John Sherman down and asked how the machine kills you.

Sherman runs the AI Risk Network. This first clip is the short one that went up Friday under the title Countdown to Extinction?

Watch it here: [VIDEO]

Sherman's answer is that he cannot name the method. Today's systems are not the threat. The threat, as he tells it, is general intelligence and then superintelligence — machines smarter than a person in every domain. He points at Dario Amodei's recent essay: in six to twelve months, bot swarms could take the internet and hold it. Encryption could fail in the same window. Bank, Gmail, Pentagon. When O'Reilly asks how they kill us, Sherman reaches for Roman Yampolskiy's dog. The dog thinks you kill it by biting. It does not know about guns or poison. A mind that stands to us the way we stand to the dog would use means we do not have a word for. The builders and the outside experts, he says, already agree these machines have the near-term potential to end us. They also agree they do not fully control what they are building.

Illinois Still Looks Settled

I wanted to get into these videos on the Illinois governor’s race. JB Pritzker is seeking a third term. His Republican opponent is the same man from 2022, Darren Bailey, running this time with Cook County Republican Aaron Del Mar. Given that Illinois is a solid blue state, the Republicans have a very steep climb in 2026.

The first clip is Del Mar. FOX 32 got a recording of comments he made about George Floyd. He sat down with political reporter Brandon Pope to answer them.

Watch it here [VIDEO]