Nobel laureate and Stanford Professor Michael Levitt has concluded that at least in China the crisis will be over there. Though I wanted to highlight this because I missed this. It's important for the crisis as it's emerged in this nation:
Glad to see the optimism for China and Korea at least, let's hope the steps taken in the U.S. so far will see this crisis flatten out soon. At least by the summer as estimated over the weekend by federal officials.
The explosion of cases in Italy is worrying, Levitt said, but he estimates it is a result of a higher percentage of elderly people than in China, France, or Spain. “Furthermore, Italian culture is very warm, and Italians have a very rich social life. For these reasons, it is important to keep people apart and prevent sick people from coming into contact with healthy people.”
China did great work and managed to gain complete control of the virus, Levitt said. “Currently, I am most worried about the U.S. It must isolate as many people as possible to buy time for preparations. Otherwise, it can end up in a situation where 20,000 infected people will descend on the nearest hospital at the same time and the healthcare system will collapse.”
Israel currently does not have enough cases to provide the data needed to make estimates, Levitt said, but from what he can tell, the Ministry of Health is dealing with the pandemic in a correct, positive way. “The more severe the defensive measures taken, the more they will buy time to prepare for needed treatment and develop a vaccine.”
Levitt avoids making global forecasts. In China, he said, the number of new infections will soon reach zero, and South Korea is past the median point and can already see the end. Regarding the rest of the world, it is still hard to tell, he said. “It will end when all those who are sick will only meet people they have already infected. The goal is not to reach the situation the cruise ship experienced.”
Glad to see the optimism for China and Korea at least, let's hope the steps taken in the U.S. so far will see this crisis flatten out soon. At least by the summer as estimated over the weekend by federal officials.
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