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Showing posts with label 2012. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2012. Show all posts

Sunday, December 09, 2012

Reason: LP Candidate Bruce Majors vs. D.C.'s One-Party System


[VIDEO] So there are Libertarians in our nation's capital and at that some of them may well be Black. Well a man named Bruce Majors ran against longtime DC Congressional Delegate Eleanor Holmes Norton.

Anyway, this is an interesting conversation Majors has with Nick Gillespie. To start Majors was able to garner enough votes for the DC Libertarian Party to become a major party in the nations capitols effectively joining at least the Republicans and the Democrats through 2016.

DC is not unlike Illinois in that primary voters have a closed system meaning that you must register or ask for the ballot of a specific party before casting a ballot. In fact at my other blog - The Sixth Ward - I had posted an editorial which calls for an open primary in this state. To be sure, it seems unlikely to come to pass but one idea who's time has come.

Anyway this is one way those fabled Black Libertarians can answer the call to let the world know that they exist! Hopefully Mr. Majors is able to pursue and gain such supporters.

Friday, November 23, 2012

What's the deal with Jesse Jr?

Since it came out in the news this past summer, I followed as closely as I could the medical leave of Jesse Jackson Jr. Jackson was my congressman for the past decade until the recent redistricting placed me in Bobby Rush's congressional district. That story seemed to have some weaves and turns it was unbelievable.

It was a while before the public found out that Jesse Jr. had been on medical leave. It was a while still until we found out that he had been out of Congress due to exhaustion. Then still a while until we found out that he had been diagnosed with bipolar depression.

There had been a lot of speculation as to the nature of his disorder such as his gastric bypass. Then eventually it turned to the Blago scandal as Jesse Jr. had found himself embroiled in that corruption. The feds even after they got Blago didn't stop digging and there had been an associate who continued to be questioned about it. The associate being a banker who helped the former Congressman fund raise.

And now what should've been a promising career had been clipped. Before the Thanksgiving holiday Congressman Jesse Jackson Jr. had resigned his Congressional seat. Jackson himself had won the seat in a special election against Mel Reynolds in 1995 after Reynolds himself was forced to resign after becoming embroiled in a sex scandal. Now there will be a special election to follow Jackson.

It's interesting that after a whole lot of secrecy he's out and it appears his staff were even left in the cold. It's unfortunate that both he and his wife - Sandi - who is a Chicago Alderman are under the federal radar mainly for misusing campaign funds.

All the same, who knows what would've happened if he had stayed away from Blago's senate seat sale. Would he still have a congressional seat had he not aspired to the US Senate in the wake of Obama ascension to the Presidency?

Also, in his resignation letter he's indicated that he's continuing to cooperate with the feds so who knows how long it will take to get him into court. One part of that process appears complete. Why resign from Congress if you're not concerned that the feds have very little on you in the first place?

Thursday, November 08, 2012

Marathon Pundit: Three election contests--three atrocious results

I intended to link to this post but plain forgot!

John Ruberry talks about three elections out of Cook County that didn't provide a good results.

The most well known of them was of State Rep Derrick Smith. He had been pinched for soliciting and taking a bribe by the feds earlier this year. He had also been kicked out of the Illinois State House of Representatives, but he refused to vacate his place on the ballot. Democratic leaders had put another man on the ballot as a member of a third party for voters to consider, but the voters of that district voted Smith back to his own seat anyway. Sadly the IL constitution prohibits expelling someone from the House again for the same reasons that they were already expelled.

Another well known election was that of Jesse Jackson Jr. In spite of not making any public appearances since it was revealed that he was under medical leave this past summer, he was able to be re-elected to his congressional seat. He hadn't campaigned at all during the course of the general election, but it seems people were for whatever reason very willing to send him right back to Congress!

The least well known is of a Cook County Judge. She was retained to the bench on Tuesday but she had to go to court the next day to face charges of battery. In Illinois judges are elected and they do campaign but unlike running for an executive office or a legislative office it's hard to gauge the job they're doing. She wasn't recommended at all by any local bar association and has been chided for her general temperament.

While I'm sure there are many who aren't happy with who was sent back to the White House on Tuesday, we have even less reason to celebrate here in Cook County. Sheesh!

Sun-Times: Jim Oberweis finally wins an election


[VIDEO] In this state there were three elections that didn't provide a good result. It's unfortunate but has been known to happen when an undeserving pol retains or wins an office in a situation where they shouldn't. It happened with Rod Blagojevich in 2006 and he quickly found himself out of office in 2009.

Another election that hasn't been noticed was the election of Jim Oberweis to the Illinois State Senate. Oberweis who is associated with the dairy industry - an eponymous company sells ice cream and milk - has had several aborted attempts for elected office over the years. He ran for the US Senate one year, then Governor of Illinois, and then another attempt for the US Congress and lost all of those elections.

This was going to be the year and it seemed that he set his eyes down from the much higher profile offices he had sought in the past to a seat in the state Senate. Somehow Rich Miller didn't write about this election, but the Sun-Times didn't miss it:
If at first you don’t succeed, try, try again . . . and again and again and again and again and again.

Republican Jim Oberweis, who after running for elected office five previous times, won a seat in the Illinois Senate in Tuesday’s election.

Oberweis, 66, chairman of Oberweis Dairy and founder of Oberweis Asset Management, took about 58 percent of Tuesday’s vote, and defeated Democratic challenger Corinne Pierog of St. Charles in the race.

Despite finally getting a win — after running unsuccessfully in previous races for governor and the U.S. House and Senate — Oberweis said the victory was bittersweet.

“It was a very disappointing evening, actually,” Oberweis said on Wednesday from his North Aurora office. “After last night’s results, I’m afraid it will be very difficult to accomplish anything in Springfield.”
 In there is a statement about Illinois politics. While nationally the Republicans retained their US House majority and lost ground in the Senate and lost a sure election to the White House, in Illinois Republicans still have difficulty gaining ground against Democrats. In fact a few Republican congressmen lost their seats Tuesday night. And in the state legislature Democrats have essentially won "veto-proof" majorities.

That means Democrats have a lot more power in Springfield. What that also means is that even though the Governor of this state is also Democratic, it seems that the top Democrats of this state still seem unable to get along very well. In spite of this Republicans were as unable to capitalize on this infighting as they were on the ethical lapses and even the stain of Rod Blagojevich.

The video above was an Oberweis as from one of his losing campaigns. He jumped on the issue of illegal immigration and quickly made him a controversial figure. Though I do wonder if it's a good thing that at this current moment that he really doen't have a lot of influence in the Illinois state Senate.

So far it seems like he wants to be more bipartisan and that's a good thing!

Wednesday, November 07, 2012

Larry Sabato was right

Via wptv.com
Yeah his likely prediction was the results of yesterday's Presidential election. Obama did it and it almost seemed as if the moment wasn't going in his direction.

Some on the right wing are going to pick the results of last night apart. As I'm writing this post my radio is tuned to Rush Limbaugh. We know he's going to pick apart last night's results. His answer is to run as a Conservative.

All the same, we have four more years of Obama. My sincere hope is that the next four years will be different from the first four. Will more get done the next four years and will Obama create a team that will get the economy running in the next four years.

Rush believes no one on the Republican side had successfully been able to articulate what really makes this nation great. No one has been able to articulate that this nation is great not because of it's government and the services it provides, but of individuals reaching their full potential.

Until 2016 this is what we will hear repeatedly, but who will be the next Ronald Reagan. It appears Republicans are still waiting to find him reborn.

Right now we have President Obama from 2013 to 2017. Let's hope for the best and if you're really not happy I would encourage you to find a way to get involved.

Monday, November 05, 2012

OK one more final prediction wargaming the electoral college

Vodkapundit takes a look at different scenarios for an electoral victory between President Obama and Mitt Romney. Some of these scenarios shown there are impossible. Besides Minnesota isn't going for a Republican nor is Oregon. Still some of these scenarios make sense for both men. And again, we won't know for sure until tomorrow!

UPDATE: One final presidential race prediction

An update to last Thursday's post. Looking at this piece by political scientist Larry Sabato President Obama could likely be re-elected tomorrow. Obama could win the electoral college vote with a margin of 42.

Well that's how close the election could go and we'll know for sure tomorrow who will win. Not many would be happy about the probability of an Obama victory and I'm sure many won't be too happy about the probability of a Romney victory. It was a while ago that it was decided by me that this will be a close election.

Tomorrow is the big day, we shall see how close or even how wide open it will be!

VIDEO: Inner City Blacks Fleeing Barack Obama and the Democrat-Liberal Agenda


[VIDEO] I'm going to give credit to RebelPundit, he goes into the heart of the "hood" to get the story. In this case, he's right in the heart of the far south side of Chicago which is basically Roseland. In fact, he films a memorial to the many youths you have been killed in Chicago. He also appears to be at the Bud Billiken Parade this past summer as well.

Consider this a prequel of sorts to a RebelPundit video I posted last night which showed a recent protest in downtown Chicago outside of a TV studio during an evening news cast. There are a group of Black out there who aren't very happy with the Democratic Party and do not see either the Tea Party or even the Republican Party coming into their community disrupting everything. They basically point at the Democratic machine!

Thursday, November 01, 2012

So how's the national Presidential race, so far...


This link was forwarded to me by Steve Bartin at Newsalert. Political scientist Larry Sabato has his take on not only the Presidential race but on US Senate races around the nation. For this post I'm keeping my focus on Romney v. Obama (and yes I intentially wrote it that way Obama is the champ and Romney is the challenger it is how they do it in boxing correct).
Remarkably, after a year of intense campaigning, this election is not in the bag for either major-party candidate. It remains on the edge of the butter knife; the state polling averages tilt the Electoral College slightly to President Obama, and the RealClearPolitics national polling average moved into an exact tie late Wednesday afternoon. On top of it all, a fierce Super Storm intervened, acting as a circuit-breaker that stopped campaigning dead in its tracks for several days in the election’s last week.

Have Obama’s presidential actions in the wake of the storm, so highly praised by Republican Gov. Chris Christie of New Jersey, had an effect? Will Friday’s unemployment report — whatever it may show — push the small percentage of remaining undecideds off the fence and toward one of the candidates? This election is going down to the wire, and we will issue our final Electoral College predictions, as we often do, on Monday, the day before the election.

In our private conversations with Democratic and Republican leaders, we see two diametrically opposed visions of the electorate — almost parallel universes — and two visions of how the election will shake out. Unsurprisingly, the Democrats AND the Republicans are confident of victory for their party in what is a close presidential contest. Democrats see favorable demographics and sturdy leads in enough states to get Obama over the magic 270-vote mark, while Republicans discern rumblings of a 1980-style wave that will not only ruin Obama, but also drown Democratic Senate candidates and ruin the reputations of many pollsters, particularly on the state level.

We still see eight true battlegrounds right now, the same ones we have focused our readers on for over one year, with just one addition: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio, Virginia, and Wisconsin (the latter added after Paul Ryan’s pick for VP).
Well I shall keep an eye out for the final electoral college prediction and then post it here. It will likely be one out of many from various sources. I wonder what the FiveThirtyEight blog's predictions are. In 2008 they were able to predict an Obama victory as well.

In the meanwhile check out the current Electoral College prediction map above.

Wednesday, October 31, 2012

Capitol Fax: President winning by 16 points here

This poll and the data from which it derived should come as no surprise. Do I believe this will be a close election? Yes. Could Obama lose Illinois? Highly unlikely. In fact I could say the answer is undoubtedly no.

Illinois is without a doubt a solidly Democratic state and the President's home is here. And it's not often that a candidate for President will lose his homestate. Al Gore lost his back in 2000, but that's not saying anything about the incumbent President.

I understand that a lot of people are promoting early vote. I will vote on Election Day, we shall see how the votes will be distributed. How many early voters cast their votes for the President here in this state?

Sunday, October 28, 2012

Debates...

This month's Presidential debates are over and next week is election time. We saw three debates between President Obama and Mitt Romney and one debate between Vice President Biden and Congressman Paul Ryan. We saw the President off his game the first debate, a near fight in the second, and we saw how bad both men wanted it in the third and final debate. What we saw with VP Biden & Ryan was Biden laughing a lot.

What can we take from those debates? Well whatever you're able to. Besides we get to hear a bit more about what each man hoped to accomplish in the next administration. The thing about these debates is that they may play only to those who have already decided who's ticket they want to punch.

If it was me, I still evaluate each candidate and will only decide on Election Day. Also if you followed who said what about the debates on twitter or facebook you will see where the sentiment lies in either direction. Most of the people on my timeline on either site were for Obama and maybe a few were very much in Romney's camp.

In spite of their attempts to differentiate each other by telling us their specific domestic and foreign policies - in addition to the usage of numbers in discussion of jobs, taxations, etc. - sometimes I wonder if the American people can catch up. When they talk numbers I recognize that neither man really has a great concept of what they're talking about and were coached to be very convincing.

Another question to be asked if the American voter was convinced of who should be President in November? Are they going with either of the major party candidates? Or are they going to choose independent or third party challengers?

Well, it's safe to say the ones who made up their minds haven't changed their minds. Perhaps a precious few are no longer undecided as a result of the debates. With that result in mind the next question is, how useful are these presidential debates?

Monday, October 22, 2012

The FINAL Presidential debate!



[VIDEO] This is the last debate of this Presidential election between Mitt Romney and President Barack Obama. This debate was on foreign policy although at some points there were discussion over some domestic policy. Especially in talking about education and jobs although I'm sure that occurred over any talk of foreign trade and how our nation could benefit from it.

Hopefully this debate was much less testy that last week's town hall debate! Let me know what you think as always.

Saturday, October 20, 2012

Who am I voting for?

 
The last time I was asked that question I just stood around in silence. That person asked the question got on my nerves that it was my wish that he would just go on somewhere. He didn't really say anything that was of any great interest.

In any event the last presidential election required me to pull an absentee ballot. There was an item on the ballot that was of much greater interest to me than the Presidential race that year. 2008 was a tough election to choose a President and 2012 is the same.

It would be nice for me to say that this year wouldn't be so tough, but it's not possible. I've always said this during the course of the primaries and through the conventions. Surely I'm not the only one who believes this.

No doubt, President Obama had to follow in the heels of a presidency that has numerous crises primarily terorrism, war on two fronts and near the end the economy. A recession or even the collapse of the financial markets with the collapse of the housing market. Surely the things that Obama realized he had to deal with and the fact that there was no easy or quick solution gave him some frustrations.

Just like with President Bush after his narrow election in 2000, people were waiting in the wings to run against Obama in 2012. Surely, this intensified after the midterm elections of 2010 favored the Republicans in Congress.

So this is a tough election. It's acceptable to me that no President can ensure that the economy will rebound. So is Mitt Romney the answer? At the same time is the President the answer? If you ask me I'm not entirely convinced.

I'm quite a long way from answering whom I am voting for. Until election day my answer will be I'm still not sure yet? Of course there will be people along the way who are equally passionate about their candidates or their parties who will ask the question but my goal is to go beyond that. While I'm not displaying a lot of passion for either the President or his challenger, my intention is to go for who is best for this nation.

Thursday, October 18, 2012

Capitol Fax: Who knew?

I didn't show this fast enough, but some of the bickering between Mitt Romney and the President Tuesday night some of it was about pensions. Romney made sure to note that the President's pension most of which he accrued as an Illinois state Senator had also come from overseas investments. I'm sure that point was made against Romney's considerably sizeable pension that also contains foreign investments which includes Chinese investments.

Well that is the charge afterall, Romney is making all this money and he's set for life. And look his money is not even all that American. So before the end of the bickering, Obama made sure to note that he doesn't have as much to look at as Romney. Score one for the President!

I recognize that this point was only made regarding the President and what Rich Miller sought to explain in his post was where the President's state pension is coming from. He wanted to show how ignorant outsiders are about what's really going on in this state. He didn't really dispute much of anything other than where the money for the pensions are coming from.

Well all this to say, what does this say for us? Many of us can only wish for the generous pensions politicians and public employees get for their pensions. Even then pensions are today's bogeymen because we hear reports that governments can't afford these anymore. Where ever the money is coming from in these various pensions where will the government get this money. I'm sure that money comes from the taxpayers to invest overseas.

All the same I would rather keep the focus on the economy and not on where the money comes from for governmental pensions. Also if these pensions are out of control for the taste of the taxpayers we shouldn't nitpick on where the money comes from, but also nitpick on how to dispense these pensions. I accept that they just can't be as generous as they used.

Oh and for the sake of clarity I do have a lot more to learn about pensions. My issue is that hopefully the numbers and the various pension systems aren't too difficult to understand.

Tuesday, October 16, 2012

The FULL town hall debate Obama vs. Romney


[VIDEO] If the last debate between these two gents showed who really wanted to be President and who doesn't this debate showed that both of them wanted to be President. The President gave it back more in this debate and at times we see both men almost over talk each other. I likened that to bickering.

All the same it seemed the President was taking this one seriously. I'll let the talking heads decide who really won this debate, but at times it looked like there was about to be a fight. What do you think?

Monday, October 15, 2012

AP: Tommy Thompson's son apologizes for Obama comments



[VIDEO] I know there's a constituency that continues to believe that Obama wasn't born in this nation. That he wasn't born in Hawaii that he was born overseas to a non US citizen father. And in a Senate campaign in the state of Wisconsin it was brought up at a campaign event:
The son of U.S. Senate candidate Tommy Thompson was caught on video suggesting voters this fall should send President Barack Obama back "to Kenya," but later apologized through the campaign.

Jason Thompson, the son of the former governor, made the comments Sunday during a brunch hosted by the Kenosha County Republican Party.

"We have the opportunity to send President Obama back to Chicago — or Kenya," said Jason Thompson, an attorney at a large Milwaukee law firm.

The comment drew laughs from the crowd, with one woman jokingly adding, "We are taking donations for that Kenya trip."

The video was taken by a Democratic Party operative and posted at BuzzFeed Politics Sunday.

President Obama's father was Kenyan, but Obama was born in Hawaii.
That speech was depicted in the video above.

BTW, this is already a tough election. Mentioning these controversies that have come up since Obama became President distracts from what I believe should be the main issues of this election. Those main issues being the economy, we shouldn't continue to debate whether he was born here and we shouldn't be talking about sending him back to Kenya. We do need to talk about this economy which is very important to me in this election.

This is already a tough election for me and like 2008 it might be until the very last minute who I will vote for. At least Romney hasn't made such comments or at least anyone in his campaign. Also I don't have to worry about voting in Wisconsin for a US Senate candidate

Friday, October 12, 2012

Thursday's VP Debate


[VIDEO] I may need to really pay attention to this debate the 2nd time around. Didn't really follow the reaction of the talking heads on this one. The consensus of the Obama-Romney debate was that Romney wiped the floor with the president.

At first glance in last night's debate it seems about even with a slight edge to Vice President Biden. Biden handled himself very well in this debate. So did Ryan, but I shall seek out more reacts at my first opportunity during the day tomorrow!

Tuesday, October 09, 2012

Gag campaign slogans



[VIDEO] The above video was posted on the YouTube account for TBS' Conan on August 29th. Basically poking fun at campaign taglines presented in various political speeches by both President Obama and Vice President Biden and by Mitt Romney. Bascially they also use random phrases by both campaign standard bearers basically for silliness.

I just thought about this at random and hope that Conan will do more of these leading up to the election. These gag slogans edited from larger speeches by both campaigns will certainly take a load off.

Too lazy to find it, but if it can be found my personal favorite "campaign slogan" was mouthed by VP Biden who let us know that he's "so ashamed". LOL

BTW, you can use my YouTube search to find more of these "slogans".

Sunday, October 07, 2012

Flashback 2004: Barack Obama Senate Debate


View more videos at: http://nbcchicago.com.

[VIDEO] This video from our local NBC affiliate's The Ward Room shows Obama in a debate at his best. I barely remember that field and would have a hard time seeing how he would not stand out. The only person I that stage I'm sure people may remember is former IL state comptroller Dan Hynes. That might be in part because now he's President, but certainly he was able to stick out from the crowd to eke out a victory back in the Democratic primary for US Senate in 2004.

In any event here's the caption that came with the video: "Think Barack Obama's debate performance against Mitt Romney was an anomaly? That's how he often does it. Take a look at this clip from the Senate debates in 2004 for a peek at his style."

Well compare this to his performance on Wednesday night against his Republican opponent for President Mitt Romney. This video is a mere snapshot though of almost 3 mins of footage from that particular debate. What I've linked to is the whole hour and a half of the debate where to many observers the President got his clocked cleaned.

Can we expect much of the same in Obama's next debate against Romney?

Friday, October 05, 2012

Ward Room: "Chicago Fixes Elections, Not Jobs Reports"

Well do Chicago politicians cook job report numbers? It's a slam against the President who cut his teeth in Chicago politics. This year as he seeks re-election we're hearing that more and more. Today we hear it from the former CEO of General Electric:
Former General Electric chairman Jack Welch says the new unemployment numbers issued by the Obama Administration are no more reliable than election totals issued by the Chicago Machine.

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the unemployment rate dropped to 7.8 percent, the lowest figure since President Obama’s first month in office. That’s also an important threshold because we’ve been hearing all year that no president has ever been re-elected when the unemployment rate is above 8 percent.

“Unbelievable jobs numbers..these Chicago guys will do anything..can’t debate so change numbers,” Welch tweeted on @jack_welch, his personal account.
It was essentially debunked:
Seasoned political veteran and former Chicago Alderman Dick Simpson, who recently wrote a book on Chicago corruption, said that's probably not the case.

"What Chicago's known for is fixing elections, not for cooking reports," he said. " ... that seems an odd argument."

It’s as though Short Pencil Louie, the infamous precinct captain who used to erase Republican votes and write in Democratic votes, has been promoted to director of the BLS.
All this to say many people are critical of these job numbers. In fact you can watch this example over at Newsalert. A common slam against the President is the economy particularly jobs and from those who want to see Obama gone from the White House we're going to see doubt about the jobs numbers.